| Time Period | Number of "Final Top" Calls | Accurate (Market fell >10% within 2 weeks) | False Alarm (Market moved higher within 1 month) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | | 42 | 2 | 40 | | 2021 (Peak) | 55 | 5 | 50 | | 2022 (Bear Market) | 30 | 24 | 6 | | 2023-2024 (Recovery) | 68 | 8 | 60 | | Total | 195 | 39 (20%) | 156 (80%) |
on indicators like MACD or RSI, signaling that the momentum of the preceding Wave 3 is exhausting. Wave 2 & 4 Retracements: